Risk Management Formulas

The quantitative formulas are the only maths on Security+ and they appear most years. The worked example runs one scenario through every formula so the relationships are visible.

The formulas

TermFormulaMeans
AVAsset valueWhat the asset is worth
EFExposure factorPercentage of the asset lost in one event
SLEAV x EFCost of one occurrence
AROAnnual rate of occurrenceHow many times a year it is expected
ALESLE x AROExpected cost per year
Control valueALE before minus ALE after minus control costWhether a control is worth buying

Worked example

StepWorkingResult
Asset valueA server and its data$50,000
Exposure factorA fire destroys 60% of its value0.6
SLE$50,000 x 0.6$30,000
AROExpected once every five years0.2
ALE$30,000 x 0.2$6,000 per year
ControlSuppression system reduces EF to 0.1, costs $2,000 a yearNew ALE $1,000
Worth it$6,000 minus $1,000 minus $2,000$3,000 saved per year. Buy it

Risk treatment

TreatmentWhat it meansExample
AvoidStop doing the risky thingRetire the service
MitigateReduce likelihood or impactPatch it, add a control
TransferMove the financial consequenceInsurance, or a contract clause
AcceptDocument and carry itSigned off by a risk owner
Exemption / exceptionFormally approved deviationTime limited, with compensating controls

Continuity metrics

MetricQuestion it answers
RTOHow long may this be down before it hurts
RPOHow much data may we lose
MTTRHow long does a repair take on average
MTBFHow long between failures on average
MTTFAverage life of a non-repairable item
Maximum tolerable downtimeThe outer limit RTO must sit inside

Now test yourself

Memorizing a table is a start. Practice questions are what make it stick, and every answer carries the full explanation.